Current conditions

:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt
:Issued: 2025 Oct 15 2110 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
#          Geophysical Alert Message
#
Solar-terrestrial indices for 15 October follow.
Solar flux 162 and estimated planetary A-index 14.
The estimated planetary K-index at 2100 UTC on 15 October was 1.33.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G2 level are likely.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level are likely.

wwv alert messages

Last 25 or 250 wwv alert messages.

Solar activity and geomagnetic forecast

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for high latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC	00-03	03-06	06-09	09-12	12-15	15-18	18-21	21-00
2025 Oct 14	3	2	3	4	3	3	2	2
2025 Oct 15	2	2	3	3	3	2	2	3
2025 Oct 16	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at high latitudes

	Active	Minor_Storm	Major-Severe_Storm
2025 Oct 14	10	30	45
2025 Oct 15	10	30	45
2025 Oct 16	10	25	65

Geomagnetic 3 days forecast for mid latitudes

planetary index (K)

UTC	00-03	03-06	06-09	09-12	12-15	15-18	18-21	21-00
2025 Oct 14	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2
2025 Oct 15	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3
2025 Oct 16	3	3	3	3	2	3	4	4

Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at mid latitudes

	Active	Minor_Storm	Major-Severe_Storm
2025 Oct 14	35	10	1
2025 Oct 15	35	15	1
2025 Oct 16	35	25	5

24-hour forecast of a polar cap absorption (PCA) event

Green
No active sunspot region on the Sun is likely to produce a PCA event in the 24 hours.

Computed daily at 23h00Utc from datas issued from SEC.
f5len.org (c 2004-2010)

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